UKIP have increased their share of the vote and number of seats in every European election since proportional representation was introduced in 1999. Since the Rotherham by-election, when they came second, they've been riding high in the opinion polls.
It has been speculated, particularly by UKIP supporters, that they could come first this time. In the past, UKIP have sometimes been written off as a joke; if they do come first no-one will be able to do that any more with a straight face.
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